Text 14846, 65 rader
Skriven 2007-05-23 01:39:20 av Wendy of NJ (1259.babylon5)
  Kommentar till text 14821 av rec.arts.sf.tv.babylon5.moderated (1234.babylon5)
Ärende: Re: AGW, rehashed...
============================
On Tue, 22 May 2007 08:30:30 -0700, Charlie Edmondson
<edmondson@ieee.org> wrote:

>Josh Hill wrote:
><snippage>
>> But this really isn't about the science at all. From an interesting
>> article I read yesterday:
>>=20
>> 'Al Gore has given a great deal of thought to why some people still
>> don=92t recognize the cliff we=92re about to drive over. > http://www.=
nytimes.com/2007/05/20/magazine/20wwln-gore-t.html?pagewanted=3D2
>>=20
><more snippage>
>> The problem in a nutshell.
>>=20
>
>Hi Josh,
>I have been thinking about this for a little while this morning, and=20
>maybe this analogy will help.
>
>You are driving along the road, and some folks flag you down.  They tell=
=20
>you the bridge is out ahead, so you need to turn around.
>
>But, something doesn't seem right, and, as you look into the distance,=20
>you can't see the bridge because of the fog that has come up.  You do=20
>see a bunch of folks trying to turn around, but you also see a whole lot=
=20
>of other folks driving on towards the bridge.  You also see that, before=
=20
>driving off, a lot of those folks first shout back to the others "Yes,=20
>the bridge is out! Go back!" and then get in their cars and zoom forward.
>
>So, you ask the folks that stopped you how they know the bridge is out.=20
>  They confidently tell you "Because we KNOW!" So, you think about=20
>turning around, but then you ask again "How did you find out?  Did you=20
>see the bridge?  Did someone come back and tell you?"  And, then you=20
>find out that, no, nobody came back.  But, they do have indications that=
=20
>the bridge had some wear on it, and it just MIGHT be down by the time=20
>you get there.  Our computers predicted it.  And that the real problem=20
>is that, if everyone on the road crosses the bridge, then it will fall=20
>down.  Not that it is down NOW...
>
>And, then you see some other folks telling everyone to just go on, that=20
>everything is all right, that the bridge is fine.  But, whenever someone=
=20
>starts to say that, all those predicting the bridge go over and beat the=
=20
>sn@t out of them, until they shut up.  When you ask why they do that,=20
>they say "Those are the bridge construction people.  They want the=20
>bridge to fall so that they can build a new one!"
>
>So, you look at the guys shouting for you to stop, look at them beating=20
>the other fellows up, and look at all the folks who just keep on the=20
>road, and need to make up your mind.
>
>Me, I get in my car, and slow down in the fog...
>

And is the road the Merritt Parkway, by any chance?

-Wendy
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