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Text 16273, 67 rader
Skriven 2005-11-22 05:42:00 av Jeff Binkley (1:226/600)
Ärende: Economy
===============
This can't be happening....   Iraq elections in December and the economy 
still roaring along.  Not good news for the democrats...  I'll leave it 
to one of our liberal economic braintrusts to figure out what 3.6% GDP 
means in real dollars.

======================================

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/051122/economic_outlook.html?.v=4


AP
Nation's Gross GDP Projected to Grow
Tuesday November 22, 12:14 am ET 
By Jeannine Aversa, AP Economics Writer  
Nation's GDP Projected to Grow by 3.6 Percent Despite Hurricanes and 
Energy Prices 


WASHINGTON (AP) -- Despite turbulence from hurricanes and high energy 
prices, the economy is expected to log respectable growth this year and 
next, business economists say.

The economy, as measured by gross domestic product, is projected to grow 
by 3.6 percent for all of 2005 and 3.3 percent in 2006, according to the 
National Association for Business Economics.

"The hurricane season failed to blow the economy off course," said Carl 
Tannenbaum, the association's vice president and chief economist at 
LaSalle Bank.

Against this backdrop of the economy's resiliency, the Federal Reserve 
is likely to continue boosting short-term interest rates well into next 
year to keep a lid on inflation, Tannenbaum said.

The new estimate for GDP growth in 2005 is slightly higher than a NABE 
projection released in September, while the fresh estimate for 2006 is 
slightly lower. GDP measures the value of all goods and services 
produced within the United States.

If NABE's new projections are correct, they'll mark a moderation in 
growth from 2004 but would still represent a decent performance, 
economists said. Last year, the economy grew by 4.2 percent, the best 
showing in five years.

Hurricane Katrina slammed into the Gulf Coast on Aug. 29. Rita barreled 
into the region on Sept. 24. Those storms battered crucial oil and gas 
facilities and catapulted oil prices above $70 a barrel and gasoline 
prices above $3 a gallon. Since then energy prices have moderated. Wilma 
hit on Oct. 24, causing widespread power outages and property damage 
across Florida.

To tamp down inflation fears, the Fed in early November raised a key 
interest rate by one-quarter percentage point to 4 percent, the 12th 
increase of that size since June 2004. Another quarter-point bump-up is 
expected on Dec. 13, the Fed's last scheduled meeting of this year. 
Economists expect more rate increases to follow in 2006.

The still-solid economic growth expected for this year and next should 
help the national employment climate, which was rocked by the 
hurricanes.

The nation's unemployment rate, which stood at 5.5 percent in 2004, 
should drop to 5.1 percent this year and then dip to 5 percent next 
year, according to the group's projections.

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