Text 1776, 119 rader
Skriven 2004-09-05 00:43:00 av Jeff Binkley (1:226/600)
Ärende: Bounce ?
================
This is from Newsweek, which normally has the most left leaning results 
of all major polls...

================================

http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-
bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/09-04-2004/0002244238&EDATE=

Bush/Cheney Lead Kerry/Edwards 54 to 43 Percent; in a Three-Way Trial 
Heat,
                  Bush/Cheney Receive 13-Point Margin Bounce

 Bush Approval Rating Rises to 52 Percent; First Time Above 50 Since 
January;
      Majority (53%) Wants to See Him Re-Elected-Highest Since May 2003

  27 Percent of Registered Voters Think Bush/Cheney Campaign Is Behind 
Swift
                                   Boat Ads

    NEW YORK, Sept. 4 /PRNewswire/ -- Immediately following the 
Republican National Convention in New York, the latest Newsweek Poll 
shows that, in a two-way presidential trial heat, the Bush/Cheney ticket 
would win over a Kerry/Edwards ticket by 54 percent vs. 43 percent among 
registered voters.  In a three-way trial heat, including Green Party 
Candidate Ralph Nader, the Bush/Cheney ticket would still win 52 percent 
to 41 percent for Kerry/Edwards and 3 percent for Nader/Camejo among 
registered voters.  That represents a 13-point margin bounce for 
Bush/Cheney since an August 5-10 poll conducted by Princeton Survey 
Research Associates International for the Pew Research
Center.
    And even though more Americans (49%) say they are dissatisfied with 
the way things are going in the U.S. at this time (43% are satisfied), 
President George W. Bush's approval rating has gone up to 52 percent, a 
seven-point increase since the last Newsweek Poll (July 29-30), and the 
first time it's topped 50 percent since January. Also 53 percent of 
registered voters say the would like to see President Bush re-elected to 
another term.  The last time a majority of Americans wanted to see the 
president re-elected was May 2003.
    In comparing the two presidential candidates, more registered voters 
think President Bush has strong leadership qualities than Kerry (65% vs. 
47%), is more honest and ethical (62% vs. 47%), says what he believes 
and not just what people want to hear (66% vs. 42%), would trust him to 
make the right decisions during an international crisis (57% vs. 44%), 
shares their values (54% vs. 42%), and is personally likeable (67% vs. 
59%).  In addition, more registered voters think President Bush would do 
a better job than Sen. Kerry on various issues: terrorism and homeland 
security (60% vs. 32%), the situation in Iraq (55% vs. 37%), foreign 
policy (54% vs. 38%), taxes (52% vs. 38%), economy (49% vs. 43%), 
education (48% vs. 42%), and gay marriage (44% vs. 36%).  More
people say Sen. Kerry would do a better job than President Bush on 
healthcare, including Medicare (45% vs. 43%) and the environment (50% 
vs. 36%).
    Two months before the election, more registered voters (28%) say 
terrorism and homeland security is the most important issue in 
determining their vote.  Twenty-one percent say it's the economy, 13 
percent say healthcare and only 11 percent say the situation in Iraq.  
On that subject, a majority of registered voters (55%) think that the 
U.S. did the right thing in talking military action in Iraq, though 50 
percent say the war has not made Americans safer from terrorism (45% 
think it has).  And, among registered voters, 44 percent think Saddam 
Hussein's regime was not directly involved in 9-11 (42% say it
was).
    Despite the four-day convention, a strong 60-percent majority of
registered voters say they saw none of (32%) or very little (28%) 
coverage of the RNC on television last week.  Only 40 percent say they 
saw some of it (24%) or a great deal (16%).  And only 36 percent say 
they now have a more favorable opinion of the Republican Party, with 27 
percent saying they have a less favorable opinion.  Of Independents, 29 
percent said they have a more favorable opinion of the Republicans and 
27 percent said less favorable.
Following the Democratic convention in July, 41 percent who said they 
had a more favorable opinion of the Democrats.  Only 24 percent said 
they had a less favorable opinion.  And of the 45 percent of registered 
voters who said they watched all or part of the President's speech, 37 
percent said they had a more favorable opinion of him, while 18 percent 
said it was less favorable.
    As to the presidential candidates' military service, though 75 
percent of registered voters say what they've seen or heard about Bush's 
military service will not have much effect on their vote, and 62 percent 
say the same about Kerry's military service in Vietnam, 75 percent of 
registered voters have seen or heard about the recent TV Ads sponsored 
by a veterans' group questioning Kerry's military record.  And 21 
percent say those ads are generally accurate. Thirty-nine percent say 
they are misleading or distorted.  Only 25 percent are not aware of 
those ads.  Twenty-seven percent of registered voters think the
Bush/Cheney campaign is behind the ads, while 38 percent think they were
produced independently.  (However, 26 percent of military households who 
have seen or heard about John Kerry's military record say they are less 
likely to vote for him).
    Looking ahead to the next presidential campaign, a majority of 
registered voters (50%) said they would like to see former New York City 
Mayor Rudy Giuliani run for president in 2008 (65% of Republicans), 
followed by Arizona Sen. John McCain (48%, 47% of Republicans), and 
Arnold Schwarzenegger (22%, 30% of Republicans), if the Constitution 
were changed to allow foreign-born
U.S. citizens to run.
    This poll is part of the September 13 issue of Newsweek (on 
newsstands Monday, September 6). For this Newsweek Poll, Princeton 
Survey Research Associates International interviewed 1,008 adults aged 
18 and older on Sept. 2-3, 2004.  The margin of error is plus or minus 
four percentage points.

    (Read Newsweek's news releases at http://www.Newsweek.com.  Click
"Pressroom" at the bottom of the page.)

     Newsweek Poll: Post-Republican Convention, Princeton Survey 
Research
                           Associates International



See webpage for additional deatiled results.


Jeff

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