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Ärende: Poll
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http://www.time.com/time/press_releases/article/0,8599,692562,00.html

Campaign 2004: Bush Opens Double-Digit Lead
TIME Poll: Among likely voters, 52% would vote for President George Bush, while
41% would vote for John Kerry and 3% would vote for Ralph Nader



Friday, Sep. 03, 2004
New York: For the first time since the Presidential race became a two person
contest last spring, there is a clear leader, the latest TIME poll shows. If
the 2004 election for President were held today, 52% of likely voters surveyed
would vote for President George W. Bush, 41% would vote for Democratic nominee
John Kerry, and 3% would vote for Ralph Nader, according to a new TIME poll
conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2. Poll results are available on TIME.com and
will appear in the upcoming issue of TIME magazine, on newsstands Monday, Sept.
6.

Most important issues: When asked what they consider are the most important
issues, 25% of registered voters cited the economy as the top issue, followed
by 24% who cited the war on terrorism as the top issue. The situation in Iraq
was rated the top issue by 17% of registered voters, moral values issues such
as gay marriage and abortion were the top issue for 16% of respondents, and
health care was the most important issue for 11% of respondents.

Bush vs. Kerry:
The economy: 47% trust President Bush more to handle the economy, while 45%
trust Kerry.
Health care: 48% trust Senator Kerry to handle health care issues, while 42%
trust Bush.
Iraq: 53% trust Bush to handle the situation in Iraq, while 41% trust Kerry.
Terrorism: 57% trust Bush to handle the war on terrorism, while 36% trust
Kerry.
Understanding the needs of people: 47% said they trust Kerry to understand the
needs of people like themselves, while 44% trusted Bush to understand their
needs.
Providing strong leadership: 56% said they trust Bush to provide strong
leadership in difficult times, while 37% said they trust Kerry to provide
leadership in difficult times.
Tax policy: 49% trust Bush to handle tax policy, while 40% trust Kerry.
Commanding the Armed Forces: 54% said they trust Bush to be commander-in-chief
of the armed forces, while 39% said they trust Kerry.

Bush on the Issues:
Iraq: Half (50%) of those surveyed approve of the way President Bush is
handling the situation in Iraq, while 46% disapprove. In last weeks TIME poll,
48% approved of the way Bush was handling the situation in Iraq and 48%
disapproved.
Terrorism: Almost two thirds (59%) said they approve of how President Bush is
handling the war on terrorism, while 38% disapprove. Last weeks TIME poll found
55% approved of Bushs handling of the war on terrorism, while 40% disapproved.
The Economy: Survey respondents were split on the Presidents handling of the
economy. Almost half (48%) said the approved of Bushs handling of the economy,
while 48% said the disapproved.

Other results include:
Was U.S. Right Going to War with Iraq? Over half of those surveyed (52%) think
the U.S. was right in going to war with Iraq, while 41% think the U.S. was
wrong to go to war.

Have the United States actions in Iraq made the world safer? Almost half (45%)
think the United States actions in Iraq have made the world safer, while 45%
think the world is more dangerous. In a similar TIME poll taken Aug. 3  5, over
half (52%) said the world was more dangerous, and 38% said the world was safer.

# # #

Methodology: The TIME Poll was conducted August 31  September 2 by telephone
among a random sample of 1,316 adults, including 1,128 reported registered
voters and 926 likely voters. The margin of error for registered voters is +/-
3% points, and +/- 4% points for likely voters. Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas
(SRBI) Public Affairs conducted the poll, and more complete results are
attached.

Contacts:
Ty Trippet, 212-522-3640
Jennifer Zawadzinski, 212-522-9046

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