Text 22096, 50 rader
Skriven 2006-08-23 16:37:00 av VERN HUMPHREY (1:123/140)
     Kommentar till en text av SEAN DENNIS
Ärende: Another good reason not t
=================================
SD>The Fertility Gap
SD>Liberal politics will prove fruitless as long as liberals refuse to multiply

SD>But the data on young Americans tell a different story. Simply put, liberals
SD>have a big baby problem: They're not having enough of them, they haven't for
SD>long time, and their pool of potential new voters is suffering as a result.

Many years ago, I read something from the Iron Curtain, a Polish
official commenting, "Eveyone knows Poland's population is falling, but
no one knows what to do about it." :-)

It seems the Democratic Party is becoming the Polish Party. :-)

SD>Alarmingly for the Democrats, the gap is widening at a bit more than half a
SD>percentage point per year, meaning that today's problem is nothing compared
SD>what the future will most likely hold. Consider future presidential election
SD>in a swing state (like Ohio), and assume that the current patterns in fertil
SD>continue. A state that was split 50-50 between left and right in 2004 will t
SD>right by 2012, 54% to 46%. By 2020, it will be certifiably right-wing, 59% t
SD>41%. A state that is currently 55-45 in favor of liberals (like California)
SD>will be 54-46 in favor of conservatives by 2020--and all for no other reason
SD>than babies.

SD>The fertility gap doesn't budge when we correct for factors like age, income
SD>education, sex, race--or even religion. Indeed, if a conservative and a libe
SD>are identical in all these ways, the liberal will still be 19 percentage poi
SD>more likely to be childless than the conservative. Some believe the gap
SD>reflects an authentic cultural difference between left and right in America
SD>today. As one liberal columnist in a major paper graphically put it, "Maybe
SD>scales are tipping to the neoconservative, homogenous right in our culture
SD>simply because they tend not to give much of a damn for the ramifications of
SD>wanton breeding and environmental destruction and pious sanctimony, whereas
SD>those on the left actually seem to give a whit for the health of the planet
SD>the dire effects of overpopulation." It would appear liberals have been quit
SD>successful controlling overpopulation--in the Democratic Party.

Ah, the old "Insult them until they love us" strategy. :-)

SD>Of course, politics depends on a lot more than underlying ideology. People v
SD>for politicians, not parties. Lots of people are neither liberal nor
SD>conservative, but rather vote on the basis of personalities and specific
SD>issues. But all things considered, if the Democrats continue to appeal to
SD>liberals and the Republicans to conservatives, getting out the youth vote ma
SD>be increasingly an exercise in futility for the American left.

SD>Democratic politicians may have no more babies left to kiss.

That's okay -- I have something they can kiss. :-)
--- Platinum Xpress/Win/WINServer v3.0pr5
 * Origin: Try Our Web Based QWK: DOCSPLACE.ORG (1:123/140)