Text 2560, 43 rader
Skriven 2004-09-25 03:15:17 av John Hull (1:379/1.99)
   Kommentar till text 2556 av LEE LOFASO (1:123/140)
Ärende: POll
============
24 Sep 04 16:27, LEE LOFASO wrote to JOHN HULL:

 LL> Hello John,

 LL> [..]

 >>LL>Strategy and tactics are used to give the impression of a "trend".
 >>LL>Not that there is in actuality a "trend".  Voters have a herd
 >>LL>mentality, which is why campaign managers will use (or misuse) 
 >>LL>polls in an effort to get voters to vote for their candidate.

 JH>>Rasmussen of Rasmussen Polls was on TV last night, and when asked 
 JH>>what he thought of the polling numbers, said that the numbers 
 JH>>themselves were not th important thing, the trend of those numbers 
 JH>>was.  That's exactly what I told you, now validated by a 
 JH>>professional pollster who owns one of the polling companies.  If 
 JH>>that isn't good enough for you, then its your problem.

 LL> In politics, perception is everything.  And so is timing.  A 
 LL> candidate wants to peak on election day.  If a candidate peaks too early, 
 LL> he/she may wind up losing, not being able to regain momentum.  If a 
 LL> candidate peaks too late, it could spell curtains for that campaign.

 LL> It is not "trends" that dictate to candidates or campaign managers 
 LL> what to do.  By using strategy and tactics, campaign managers can 
 LL> create perceptions among the public that a candidate is "winning" or 
 LL> "gaining ground", etc.

 LL> Polls are merely snapshots of how candidates are faring at certain
 LL> points in time.  Even though some polls are taken as a deceptive 
 LL> means of showing support or lack of support among certain candidates.

Well, Lee, since you seem to know so much more about it than the professional
pollsters and campaign strategists, why don't you go hire yourself out to run
somebody's campaign?

John 

America:  First, Last, and Always!
Go to www.madgorilla.us for all your Domain Name Services at the lowest rates.

--- Msged/386 TE 05
 * Origin:  (1:379/1.99)