Text 27051, 195 rader
Skriven 2007-02-06 22:20:00 av Jeff Binkley (1:226/600)
Kommentar till en text av Bob Sakowski
Ärende: Re: Global Warming Critic
=================================
Of course. Any dissenter must be.
Jeff
BS>I wonder if he is one of the "professional" climatoligists bought by
BS>EXON/MOBIL?
BS>> http://www.canadafreepress.com/2007/global-warming020507.htm
BS>> Global Warming is not due to human contribution of Carbon Dioxide
BS>> Global Warming: The Cold, Hard Facts?
BS>> By Timothy Ball
BS>> Monday, February 5, 2007
BS>> Global Warming, as we think we know it, doesn't exist. And I am not
BS>> the only one trying to make people open up their eyes and see the
BS>> truth. But few listen, despite the fact that I was the first
BS>> Canadian Ph.D. in Climatology and I have an extensive background
BS>> in climatology, especially the reconstruction of past climates and
BS>> the impact of climate change on human history and the human
BS>> condition. Few listen, even though I have a Ph.D, (Doctor of
BS>> Science) from the University of London, England and was a
BS>> climatology professor at the University of Winnipeg. For some
BS>> reason (actually for many), the World is not listening. Here is
BS>> why.
BS>> What would happen if tomorrow we were told that, after all, the
BS>> Earth is flat? It would probably be the most important piece of
BS>> news in the media and would generate a lot of debate. So why is it
BS>> that when scientists who have studied the Global Warming
BS>> phenomenon for years say that humans are not the cause nobody
BS>> listens? Why does no one acknowledge that the Emperor has no
BS>> clothes on?
BS>> Believe it or not, Global Warming is not due to human contribution
BS>> of Carbon Dioxide (CO2). This in fact is the greatest deception in
BS>> the history of science. We are wasting time, energy and trillions
BS>> of dollars while creating unnecessary fear and consternation over
BS>> an issue with no scientific justification. For example,
BS>> Environment Canada brags about spending $3.7 billion in the last
BS>> five years dealing with climate change almost all on propaganda
BS>> trying to defend an indefensible scientific position while at the
BS>> same time closing weather stations and failing to meet legislated
BS>> pollution targets.
BS>> No sensible person seeks conflict, especially with governments, but
BS>> if we don't pursue the truth, we are lost as individuals and as a
BS>> society. That is why I insist on saying that there is no evidence
BS>> that we are, or could ever cause global climate change. And,
BS>> recently, Yuri A. Izrael, Vice President of the United Nations
BS>> sponsored Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
BS>> confirmed this statement. So how has the world come to believe
BS>> that something is wrong?
BS>> Maybe for the same reason we believed, 30 years ago, that global
BS>> cooling was the biggest threat: a matter of faith. "It is a cold
BS>> fact: the Global Cooling presents humankind with the most
BS>> important social, political, and adaptive challenge we have had to
BS>> deal with for ten thousand years. Your stake in the decisions we
BS>> make concerning it is of ultimate importance; the survival of
BS>> ourselves, our children, our species," wrote Lowell Ponte in 1976.
BS>> I was as opposed to the threats of impending doom global cooling
BS>> engendered as I am to the threats made about Global Warming. Let me
BS>> stress I am not denying the phenomenon has occurred. The world has
BS>> warmed since 1680, the nadir of a cool period called the Little Ice
BS>> Age (LIA) that has generally continued to the present. These
BS>> climate changes are well within natural variability and explained
BS>> quite easily by changes in the sun. But there is nothing unusual
BS>> going on.
BS>> Since I obtained my doctorate in climatology from the University of
BS>> London, Queen Mary College, England my career has spanned two
BS>> climate cycles. Temperatures declined from 1940 to 1980 and in the
BS>> early 1970's global cooling became the consensus. This proves that
BS>> consensus is not a scientific fact. By the 1990's temperatures
BS>> appeared to have reversed and Global Warming became the consensus.
BS>> It appears I'll witness another cycle before retiring, as the
BS>> major mechanisms and the global temperature trends now indicate a
BS>> cooling.
BS>> No doubt passive acceptance yields less stress, fewer personal
BS>> attacks and makes career progress easier. What I have experienced
BS>> in my personal life during the last years makes me understand why
BS>> most people choose not to speak out; job security and fear of
BS>> reprisals. Even in University, where free speech and challenge to
BS>> prevailing wisdoms are supposedly encouraged, academics remain
BS>> silent.
BS>> I once received a three page letter that my lawyer defined as
BS>> libellous, from an academic colleague, saying I had no right to
BS>> say what I was saying, especially in public lectures. Sadly, my
BS>> experience is that universities are the most dogmatic and
BS>> oppressive places in our society. This becomes progressively worse
BS>> as they receive more and more funding from governments that demand
BS>> a particular viewpoint.
BS>> In another instance, I was accused by Canadian environmentalist
BS>> David Suzuki of being paid by oil companies. That is a lie.
BS>> Apparently he thinks if the fossil fuel companies pay you have an
BS>> agenda. So if Greenpeace, Sierra Club or governments pay there is
BS>> no agenda and only truth and enlightenment?
BS>> Personal attacks are difficult and shouldn't occur in a debate in a
BS>> civilized society. I can only consider them from what they imply.
BS>> They usually indicate a person or group is losing the debate. In
BS>> this case, they also indicate how political the entire Global
BS>> Warming debate has become. Both underline the lack of or even
BS>> contradictory nature of the evidence.
BS>> I am not alone in this journey against the prevalent myth. Several
BS>> well- known names have also raised their voices. Michael Crichton,
BS>> the scientist, writer and filmmaker is one of them. In his latest
BS>> book, "State of Fear" he takes time to explain, often in
BS>> surprising detail, the flawed science behind Global Warming and
BS>> other imagined environmental crises.
BS>> Another cry in the wildenerness is Richard Lindzen's. He is an
BS>> atmospheric physicist and a professor of meteorology at MIT,
BS>> renowned for his research in dynamic meteorology - especially
BS>> atmospheric waves. He is also a member of the National Academy of
BS>> Sciences and has held positions at the University of Chicago,
BS>> Harvard University and MIT. Linzen frequently speaks out against
BS>> the notion that significant Global Warming is caused by humans.
BS>> Yet nobody seems to listen.
BS>> I think it may be because most people don't understand the
BS>> scientific method which Thomas Kuhn so skilfully and briefly set
BS>> out in his book "The Structure of Scientific Revolutions." A
BS>> scientist makes certain assumptions and then produces a theory
BS>> which is only as valid as the assumptions. The theory of Global
BS>> Warming assumes that CO2 is an atmospheric greenhouse gas and as
BS>> it increases temperatures rise. It was then theorized that since
BS>> humans were producing more CO2 than before, the temperature would
BS>> inevitably rise. The theory was accepted before testing had
BS>> started, and effectively became a law.
BS>> As Lindzen said many years ago: "the consensus was reached before
BS>> the research had even begun." Now, any scientist who dares to
BS>> question the prevailing wisdom is marginalized and called a
BS>> sceptic, when in fact they are simply being good scientists. This
BS>> has reached frightening levels with these scientists now being
BS>> called climate change denier with all the holocaust connotations
BS>> of that word. The normal scientific method is effectively being
BS>> thwarted.
BS>> Meanwhile, politicians are being listened to, even though most of
BS>> them have no knowledge or understanding of science, especially the
BS>> science of climate and climate change. Hence, they are in no
BS>> position to question a policy on climate change when it threatens
BS>> the entire planet. Moreover, using fear and creating hysteria
BS>> makes it very difficult to make calm rational decisions about
BS>> issues needing attention.
BS>> Until you have challenged the prevailing wisdom you have no idea
BS>> how nasty people can be. Until you have re-examined any issue in
BS>> an attempt to find out all the information, you cannot know how
BS>> much misinformation exists in the supposed age of information.
BS>> I was greatly influenced several years ago by Aaron Wildavsky's
BS>> book "Yes, but is it true?" The author taught political science at
BS>> a New York University and realized how science was being
BS>> influenced by and apparently misused by politics. He gave his
BS>> graduate students an assignment to pursue the science behind a
BS>> policy generated by a highly publicised environmental concern. To
BS>> his and their surprise they found there was little scientific
BS>> evidence, consensus and justification for the policy. You only
BS>> realize the extent to which Wildavsky's findings occur when you
BS>> ask the question he posed. Wildavsky's students did it in the
BS>> safety of academia and with the excuse that it was an assignment. I
BS>> have learned it is a difficult question to ask in the real world,
BS>> however I firmly believe it is the most important question to ask
BS>> if we are to advance in the right direction.
BS>> Dr. Tim Ball, Chairman of the Natural Resources Stewardship Project
BS>> (www.nrsp.com), is a Victoria-based environmental consultant and
BS>> former climatology professor at the University of Winnipeg. He can
BS>> be reached at letters@canadafreepress.com
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BS>--
BS>A conservative is a man with two perfectly good
BS>legs who, however, has never learned how to walk
BS>forward. -- Franklin D. Roosevelt
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