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Text 7070, 100 rader
Skriven 2005-01-04 12:26:08 av Ed Connell (1:379/1.6)
   Kommentar till text 7068 av Stan Hardegree (1:379/1.2)
Ärende: Re: Election
====================

Hey, Stan.

 SH> I find this kind of data to be fascinating

Yeah, me too.  Thanks.

 SH> Notes on Election 2004

 SH> As the presidential election year is now over, here are a few musings
 SH> about the 2004 election.

 SH> Like the Energizer Bunny, the 2004 vote tally for George W. Bush keeps
 SH> going and going, setting one record after another. Reflecting reporting
 SH> by more than 99 percent of voting districts throughout the country,
 SH> official results at 5 p.m. on the day after the election revealed that
 SH> Mr. Bush had set the all-time American vote-getting record by amassing
 SH> more than 59 million votes. That total was nearly 5 million more than
 SH> the 54.5 million votes Ronald Reagan received in his landslide 1984
 SH> re-election.

 SH> Since the Nov. 3 count, however, Mr. Bush has collected another 3
 SH> million-plus votes, and his tally now tops the 62-million vote level,
 SH> according to Dave Leip. Mr. Leip, who operates the Web site
 SH> http://uselectionatlas.org, has been studiously recording the official
 SH> post-election tallies of all the states, which have spent weeks
 SH> counting absentee, overseas, write-in and provisional ballots.

 SH> Thus, compared to 2000, Mr. Bush increased his vote by more than 11.5
 SH> million (and counting), or 23 percent, in 2004. The total presidential
 SH> vote, according to Mr. Leip's Thursday tally, topped 122 million.
 SH> That's several million votes above the level at which conventional
 SH> political wisdom predicted a solid victory by Democratic presidential
 SH> candidate John Kerry. Yet it is Mr. Bush, whose latest tally exceeds
 SH> Mr. Kerry's by more than 3 million votes, who will be inaugurated in
 SH> less than three weeks.

 SH> In 2002 and 2004, Mr. Bush became the first elected president since
 SH> Franklin Delano Roosevelt whose party gained both House and Senate
 SH> seats during both the midterm election (1934) and the presidential
 SH> re-election year (1936). In fact, since the Civil War, FDR and Mr. Bush
 SH> have been the only presidents to increase their party's House seats
 SH> during their first midterm election.

 SH> Going back to 1860, when Abraham Lincoln became the first Republican
 SH> president, Mr. Bush is the first and only elected Republican president
 SH> to gain House seats in the first midterm election and then in the
 SH> presidential re-election year. He is also the only elected GOP
 SH> president to increase his party's relative position in the Senate
 SH> during the first midterm and the re-election year. Besides Mr. Bush in
 SH> 2004, Lincoln in 1864 and William McKinley in 1900 are the only other
 SH> elected Republican presidents whose coattails added GOP seats in both
 SH> the House and the Senate during their re-election campaigns.

 SH> Before Mr. Bush accomplished the feat, it had been 68 years (going back
 SH> to FDR in 1936) since the party of an elected president added seats in
 SH> the Senate during his re-election year. Despite achieving decisive
 SH> victories, FDR failed to do it 1940 and 1944. Remarkably, during the
 SH> re-election landslides of GOP presidents Dwight Eisenhower (15.4
 SH> percentage-point victory margin, 1956), Richard Nixon (23.2 percent,
 SH> 1972) and Mr. Reagan (18.2 percent, 1984), the Democratic Party
 SH> actually increased its representation in the Senate by one, two and two
 SH> members, respectively. Bill Clinton won re-election in 1996 by 8.5
 SH> percentage points, but Republicans added two senators. Mr. Bush's
 SH> re-election increased the GOP Senate majority by four members.

 SH>     Here are some noteworthy results from this year's exit polling:

 SH>  - While Mr. Kerry achieved the Democrats' customary supermajority
 SH> among black voters (88?11), who comprised 11 percent of the electorate,
 SH> Mr. Bush won decisively among white males (62?37) and white women
 SH> (55?44), who comprised 36 percent and 41 percent of the electorate,
 SH> respectively.

 SH> - Among age cohorts, Mr. Kerry won only the 18-to-29-year-old bracket
 SH> (54?45), while Mr. Bush captured the 30-44 group (53?46), the 45?59
 SH> group (51?48) and the 60-and-older group (54?46).

 SH> - Fifty-five percent of the electorate reported income over $50,000,
 SH> and 56 percent of them voted for Mr. Bush. By contrast, Mr. Kerry
 SH> received 55 percent of the vote of those with incomes below $50,000;
 SH> but they comprised only 44 percent of the electorate.

 SH> - To fund the election of Democrats, organized labor devotes more than
 SH> 95 percent of its mostly dues-financed political war chest, which
 SH> totals hundreds of millions of dollars per election cycle, according to
 SH> well-informed observers. But Mr. Bush received 38 percent of the votes
 SH> of union members and 40 percent of the votes of those whose household
 SH> includes a union member.

 SH> - Among the 41 percent of voters who attend church weekly, Mr. Bush
 SH> received 61 percent of the vote. Mr. Kerry captured 62 percent of the
 SH> vote from the 14 percent of the electorate that never attends church.

 SH> - Sixty-three percent of voters were married, and Mr. Bush got 57
 SH> percent of their votes. Mr. Kerry received a nearly mirror-image
 SH> majority from the 37 percent of voters who weren't married.

--- Fidolook Lite FTN stub 
 * Origin: Procrastinate NOW, don't put it off for tomorro (1:379/1.6)